Does Aid Promote or Hinder Industrial Development? Lessons from a Natural Experiment in China
نویسندگان
چکیده
It is extremely difficult to empirically test the impact of aid on economic growth across countries. In this paper we adopt a disaggregate approach to study the link between aid and Dutch Disease using a natural experiment in China. Specifically, we examine whether post-disaster aid provided to a subsample of Chinese counties, devastated by an earthquake, in 2008 affects the sectoral composition of local economies. We find that counties receiving (more) aid — even “nearby counties” not directly damaged by the earthquake — tend to suffer from a contraction of the manufacturing sector. Innovative features of the paper include its regional perspective; its identification strategy (resting on a special provision in Chinese policy—pairwise aid); and its focus on Dutch disease effects in the context of post-
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تاریخ انتشار 2015